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等着吧,产业的大家伙会真金白银开始出钱收购小的公司

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月21日 11:49:07
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(  9月)(21日)(~22日)(,为)(期)(两)(天)(的)(创)(业)(邦)(2016创)(新)(中)(国)(总)(决)(赛)(暨)(秋)(季)(峰)(会)(在)(杭)(州)(召)(开)(。在)(22日)(上)(午)(“中)(国)(VC投)(资)(高)(峰)(论)(坛)(”的)(圆)(桌)(论)(坛)(环)(节)(,创)(业)(邦)(总)(编)(辑)(李)(劳)(、腾)(讯)(投)(资)(管)(理)(合)(伙)(人)(李)(朝)(晖)(和)(平)(安)(创)(投)(董)(事)(总)(经)(理)(郁)(乐)(一)(起)(就)(中)(国)(当)(前)(的)(投)(资)(形)(势)(,以)(及)(关)(注)(的)(创)(业)(方)(向)(进)(行)(了)(讨)(论)(。
  犀)(利)(观)(点)(如)(下)(:
  “创)(新)(方)(面)(,对)(于)(小)(公)(司)(来)(说)(,与)(其)(更)(好)(,不)(如)(不)(同)(。”
  “巨)(头)(不)(单)(单)(是)(创)(业)(公)(司)(的)(天)(花)(板)(,同)(时)(也)(是)(创)(业)(公)(司)(的)(地)(基)(”
  “未)(来)(行)(业)(整)(合)(是)(趋)(势)(,如)(果)(创)(业)(公)(司)(的)(模)(式)(和)(产)(品)(没)(太)(大)(创)(新)(,机)(会)(就)(会)(越)(来)(越)(少)(,但)(技)(术)(创)(新)(的)(公)(司)(机)(会)(却)(越)(来)(越)(多)(。”
  “在)(这)(么)(多)(年)(的)(商)(业)(演)(化)(过)(程)(之)(中)(,所)(谓)(当)(年)(强)(大)(的)(东)(西)(并)(不)(一)(定)(还)(那)(么)(强)(大)(。当)(年)(所)(谓)(弱)(小)(的)(力)(量)(,现)(在)(越)(来)(越)(变)(成)(一)(个)(主)(要)(的)(力)(量)(。”
  腾)(讯)(投)(资)(管)(理)(合)(伙)(人)(李)(朝)(晖)(:
  
  工)(作)(经)(历)(:从)(2004年)(开)(始)(先)(后)(供)(职)(诺)(基)(亚)(、谷)(歌)(、贝)(塔)(斯)(曼)(亚)(洲)(投)(资)(等)(机)(构)(;2011年)(至)(现)(在)(供)(职)(腾)(讯)(产)(业)(基)(金)(。
  主)(要)(投)(资)(领)(域)(:互)(联)(网)(,游)(戏)(,无)(线)(,社)(交)(,媒)(体)(。
  近)(年)(主)(要)(投)(资)(项)(目)(:易)(车)(网)(,凤)(凰)(网)(,华)(谊)(兄)(弟)(,金)(山)(软)(件)(,顺)(网)(科)(技)(等)(。
  平)(安)(创)(投)(董)(事)(总)(经)(理)(郁)(乐)(
  
  工)(作)(经)(历)(:投)(资)(经)(历)(起)(始)(于)(凯)(鹏)(华)(盈)(中)(国)(基)(金)(,其)(间)(参)(与)(了)(恺)(英)(网)(络)(和)(宜)(信)(的)(投)(资)(;更)(早)(之)(前)(,他)(曾)(在)(HP和)(IBM拥)(有)(多)(年)(的)(IT行)(业)(从)(业)(经)(验)(。
  主)(要)(投)(资)(领)(域)(:消)(费)(和)(互)(联)(网)(行)(业)(的)(早)(期)(投)(资)(。
  以)(下)(为)(圆)(桌)(论)(坛)(实)(录)(:
  我)(们)(没)(感)(到)(寒)(冬)(呀)(
  李)(劳)(:资)(本)(寒)(冬)(已)(经)(到)(来)(了)(,投)(资)(人)(也)(收)(紧)(钱)(口)(袋)(,变)(得)(越)(加)(谨)(慎)(。两)(位)(与)(一)(般)(的)(风)(投)(不)(同)(,背)(靠)(着)(腾)(讯)(、平)(安)(这)(两)(棵)(大)(树)(,那)(么)(腾)(讯)(投)(资)(和)(平)(安)(创)(投)(在)(资)(本)(寒)(冬)(到)(来)(的)(时)(候)(,分)(别)(采)(用)(什)(么)(策)(略)(?背)(后)(的)(逻)(辑)(又)(是)(什)(么)(?
  李)(朝)(晖)(:我)(们)(也)(没)(有)(觉)(得)(有)(什)(么)(寒)(冬)(问)(题)(,很)(多)(朋)(友)(都)(去)(国)(外)(度)(假)(了)(,但)(至)(少)(我)(们)(在)(过)(去)(几)(个)(月)(还)(是)(在)(非)(常)(辛)(苦)(的)(工)(作)(。当)(然)(最)(近)(很)(高)(兴)(看)(到)(市)(场)(上)(又)(突)(然)(火)(爆)(了)(起)(来)(,很)(多)(项)(目)(就)(开)(始)(被)(疯)(抢)(了)(,所)(以)(我)(其)(实)(没)(有)(感)(觉)(到)(特)(别)(明)(显)(的)(所)(谓)(“寒)(冬)(”。
  我)(们)(对)(所)(关)(注)(的)(领)(域)(是)(长)(期)(投)(资)(的)(态)(度)(。同)(时)(我)(们)(基)(金)(没)(有)(短)(期)(的)(进)(入)(或)(者)(退)(出)(的)(压)(力)(,每)(年)(的)(钱)(都)(是)(来)(自)(于)(腾)(讯)(自)(己)(的)(财)(务)(报)(表)(。所)(以)(会)(在)(所)(认)(定)(的)(一)(些)(方)(向)(上)(,比)(如)(说)(O2O等)(大)(家)(都)(不)(怎)(么)(再)(看)(的)(方)(向)(,一)(直)(在)(持)(续)(的)(关)(注)(和)(投)(资)(。
  郁)(乐)(:每)(年)(这)(些)(会)(议)(,要)(么)(说)(现)(在)(寒)(冬)(了)(,或)(者)(说)(现)(在)(泡)(沫)(了)(。从)(整)(个)(投)(资)(结)(构)(上)(来)(说)(,不)(管)(做)(成)(什)(么)(样)(阶)(段)(的)(基)(金)(,都)(有)(比)(较)(长)(的)(过)(程)(。从)(这)(个)(角)(度)(上)(来)(说)(,二)(级)(市)(场)(的)(状)(况)(对)(我)(们)(的)(影)(响)(并)(不)(是)(特)(别)(大)(。
  资)(本)(寒)(冬)(影)(响)(最)(大)(的)(反)(而)(是)(对)(创)(业)(公)(司)(。包)(括)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(的)(变)(化)(、G20,也)(有)(很)(多)(影)(响)(。但)(从)(某)(种)(意)(义)(上)(来)(说)(,因)(为)(我)(们)(还)(是)(保)(持)(一)(个)(统)(一)(的)(步)(调)(寻)(找)(机)(会)(。
  整)(合)(不)(是)(目)(的)(,是)(手)(段)(
  李)(劳)(:现)(在)(有)(一)(个)(评)(论)(,腾)(讯)(和)(平)(安)(通)(过)(融)(资)(的)(方)(式)(来)(加)(速)(行)(业)(的)(整)(合)(确)(实)(能)(加)(速)(发)(展)(,但)(也)(会)(给)(新)(进)(入)(创)(业)(者)(形)(成)(一)(定)(压)(力)(,让)(他)(们)(有)(可)(能)(丧)(失)(长)(成)(参)(天)(大)(树)(的)(机)(会)(?
  李)(朝)(晖)(:行)(业)(整)(合)(是)(近)(年)(来)(非)(常)(重)(要)(的)(一)(个)(主)(题)(,我)(们)(也)(参)(与)(了)(市)(场)(最)(重)(要)(的)(几)(个)(行)(业)(整)(合)(,包)(括)(滴)(滴)(和)(快)(的)(、滴)(滴)(和)(Uber、美)(丽)(说)(和)(蘑)(菇)(街)(、58和)(赶)(集)(等)(等)(,我)(们)(是)(后)(面)(推)(动)(的)(力)(量)(。
  行)(业)(整)(合)(到)(了)(目)(前)(确)(实)(是)(有)(非)(常)(大)(的)(趋)(势)(,但)(这)(和)(初)(创)(公)(司)(的)(成)(长)(或)(者)(创)(新)(本)(身)(的)(话)(,并)(没)(有)(直)(接)(的)(关)(系)(。这)(个)(行)(业)(整)(合)(还)(是)(不)(整)(合)(,其)(实)(关)(键)(来)(自)(于)(它)(的)(竞)(争)(,而)(不)(是)(来)(自)(本)(身)(产)(业)(的)(集)(中)(度)(。
  大)(家)(可)(以)(想)(在)(滴)(滴)(、快)(的)(和)(Uber高)(度)(竞)(争)(的)(过)(程)(之)(中)(,后)(面)(大)(量)(的)(互)(联)(网)(约)(车)(平)(台)(,都)(经)(历)(了)(快)(速)(兴)(起)(和)(快)(速)(衰)(败)(的)(过)(程)(。这)(个)(过)(程)(本)(身)(更)(重)(要)(在)(于)(公)(司)(之)(间)(力)(量)(对)(比)(和)(团)(队)(能)(力)(的)(对)(比)(,而)(并)(不)(是)(来)(自)(于)(这)(个)(行)(业)(本)(身)(的)(集)(中)(度)(所)(带)(来)(的)(垄)(断)(优)(势)(。
  在)(未)(来)(几)(年)(,整)(个)(大)(的)(行)(业)(整)(合)(,包)(括)(互)(联)(网)(自)(身)(的)(行)(业)(整)(合)(,以)(及)(互)(联)(网)(和)(传)(统)(行)(业)(之)(间)(相)(互)(的)(整)(合)(,会)(是)(一)(个)(重)(要)(的)(趋)(势)(。在)(这)(个)(大)(趋)(势)(下)(,创)(业)(公)(司)(如)(果)(仅)(仅)(作)(为)(一)(个)(copy,你)(的)(商)(业)(模)(式)(和)(产)(品)(模)(式)(都)(没)(有)(任)(何)(创)(新)(,那)(未)(来)(这)(样)(的)(机)(会)(越)(来)(越)(少)(。但)(对)(于)(有)(创)(新)(性)(的)(技)(术)(和)(产)(品)(在)(产)(业)(整)(合)(时)(面)(临)(着)(更)(多)(的)(机)(会)(,产)(业)(的)(大)(家)(伙)(会)(真)(金)(白)(银)(开)(始)(出)(钱)(收)(购)(小)(的)(公)(司)(。
  郁)(乐)(:整)(合)(不)(是)(目)(的)(,而)(是)(一)(个)(手)(段)(。其)(实)(每)(一)(家)(公)(司)(都)(有)(自)(己)(的)(使)(命)(,都)(有)(寻)(找)(自)(己)(发)(展)(的)(机)(会)(和)(诉)(求)(。关)(键)(是)(在)(目)(前)(这)(个)(市)(场)(竞)(争)(格)(局)(的)(状)(态)(中)(找)(到)(自)(己)(的)(方)(向)(。
  在)(这)(种)(情)(况)(下)(,机)(会)(到)(底)(在)(什)(么)(地)(方)(?我)(认)(为)(最)(终)(还)(是)(要)(花)(更)(多)(时)(间)(理)(解)(整)(个)(格)(局)(变)(化)(的)(机)(会)(。比)(如)(我)(们)(虽)(然)(是)(金)(融)(背)(景)(,但)(也)(做)(一)(些)(互)(联)(网)(投)(资)(,我)(们)(花)(很)(多)(时)(间)(学)(习)(腾)(讯)(的)(策)(略)(。当)(然)(腾)(讯)(在)(研)(究)(金)(融)(时)(,也)(会)(回)(过)(头)(来)(看)(平)(安)(到)(底)(在)(做)(什)(么)(事)(情)(。
  但)(最)(关)(键)(问)(题)(,你)(不)(能)(说)(因)(为)(在)(遥)(远)(的)(未)(来)(有)(一)(个)(很)(大)(的)(机)(会)(你)(就)(很)(贸)(然)(的)(出)(击)(,你)(还)(需)(要)(花)(蛮)(多)(的)(时)(间)(去)(研)(究)(、去)(分)(析)(,去)(比)(对)(,去)(看)(未)(来)(稍)(纵)(即)(逝)(的)(机)(会)(到)(底)(在)(什)(么)(地)(方)(,然)(后)(再)(allin。在)(目)(前)(这)(个)(节)(骨)(眼)(上)(,我)(的)(建)(议)(就)(是)(一)(定)(要)(多)(看)(、多)(想)(。然)(后)(不)(要)(太)(仓)(促)(性)(,但)(一)(旦)(行)(动)(一)(定)(要)(快)(。
  行)(业)(巨)(头)(是)(天)(花)(板)(也)(是)(地)(基)(
  李)(劳)(:我)(们)(今)(天)(去)(看)(创)(业)(者)(,尤)(其)(是)(偏)(互)(联)(网)(类)(的)(创)(业)(者)(,他)(们)(的)(环)(境)(和)(当)(初)(马)(化)(腾)(、马)(云)(创)(业)(时)(不)(一)(样)(,当)(时)(他)(们)(是)(在)(一)(片)(平)(地)(上)(构)(建)(整)(个)(商)(业)(,而)(今)(天)(无)(论)(是)(美)(国)(的)(谷)(歌)(、Facebook,中)(国)(的)(阿)(里)(和)(腾)(讯)(,已)(经)(形)(成)(了)(无)(所)(不)(在)(的)(存)(在)(。在)(今)(天)(的)(创)(业)(者)(环)(境)(中)(,创)(业)(者)(必)(须)(考)(虑)(这)(些)(要)(素)(了)(。之)(间)(肯)(定)(有)(合)(作)(的)(地)(方)(,也)(会)(有)(博)(弈)(的)(地)(方)(,哪)(些)(地)(方)(是)(中)(小)(创)(业)(者)(需)(要)(和)(巨)(头)(合)(作)(的)(,哪)(些)(地)(方)(是)(一)(定)(不)(能)(够)(去)(博)(弈)(的)(?
  郁)(乐)(:这)(个)(事)(情)(就)(好)(像)(中)(国)(的)(发)(展)(一)(样)(。20年)(前)(第)(一)(次)(来)(杭)(州)(,当)(时)(市)(区)(里)(还)(有)(很)(多)(老)(房)(子)(,白)(墙)(黑)(瓦)(的)(房)(子)(在)(拆)(。今)(天)(如)(果)(来)(杭)(州)(的)(话)(,G20之)(后)(的)(杭)(州)(很)(不)(一)(样)(,到)(处)(都)(是)(摩)(天)(大)(楼)(。
  20年)(前)(大)(家)(在)(创)(业)(的)(时)(候)(,你)(站)(在)(这)(里)(,隔)(壁)(也)(是)(两)(层)(楼)(,你)(要)(挑)(战)(的)(是)(两)(层)(楼)(。今)(天)(跑)(到)(杭)(州)(来)(,隔)(壁)(已)(经)(20层)(楼)(了)(,这)(时)(候)(你)(要)(挑)(战)(20层)(的)(话)(,如)(果)(你)(还)(是)(从)(一)(楼)(开)(始)(干)(,sorry,这)(种)(肯)(定)(不)(行)(了)(。
  但)(整)(个)(好)(处)(是)(行)(业)(水)(平)(水)(涨)(船)(高)(了)(,20年)(前)(在)(杭)(州)(找)(不)(到)(几)(个)(互)(联)(网)(工)(程)(师)(。但)(今)(天)(你)(在)(杭)(州)(,有)(大)(把)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(的)(产)(品)(经)(理)(、工)(程)(师)(等)(等)(人)(才)(。
  你)(要)(想)(清)(楚)(你)(的)(起)(点)(在)(哪)(里)(,你)(如)(果)(今)(天)(要)(挑)(战)(一)(个)(20层)(楼)(的)(话)(,你)(可)(以)(找)(到)(相)(应)(资)(源)(,从)(15楼)(开)(始)(干)(,或)(者)(从)(19楼)(开)(始)(干)(,一)(定)(要)(在)(瞬)(息)(万)(变)(的)(市)(场)(里)(面)(找)(到)(相)(对)(竞)(争)(的)(优)(势)(,然)(后)(去)(缩)(短)(和)(你)(要)(挑)(战)(点)(之)(间)(的)(距)(离)(,找)(到)(更)(多)(的)(资)(源)(,快)(速)(的)(去)(执)(行)(。
  李)(朝)(晖)(:我)(觉)(得)(现)(在)(的)(创)(业)(环)(境)(肯)(定)(比)(当)(年)(更)(好)(。举)(个)(很)(简)(单)(的)(例)(子)(,十)(年)(前)(你)(要)(去)(办)(个)(营)(业)(执)(照)(,一)(个)(人)(拿)(着)(一)(个)(本)(子)(跑)(上)(至)(少)(半)(个)(月)(到)(一)(个)(月)(,然)(后)(若)(干)(政)(府)(部)(门)(盖)(无)(数)(的)(章)(。所)(谓)(注)(册)(资)(本)(,当)(年)(注)(册)(资)(本)(是)(要)(全)(额)(任)(缴)(的)(,很)(多)(公)(司)(注)(册)(几)(万)(块)(钱)(是)(非)(常)(常)(见)(的)(事)(情)(。
  现)(在)(随)(便)(在)(一)(个)(大)(中)(型)(城)(市)(,这)(个)(事)(情)(半)(天)(一)(天)(就)(可)(以)(办)(完)(,你)(可)(以)(非)(常)(灵)(活)(来)(进)(行)(注)(册)(资)(本)(任)(缴)(,创)(业)(环)(境)(极)(大)(幅)(度)(地)(改)(善)(了)(。
  再)(举)(一)(个)(京)(东)(的)(例)(子)(,大)(家)(可)(以)(想)(象)(一)(下)(,当)(年)(刘)(强)(东)(先)(生)(在)(中)(关)(村)(卖)(盗)(版)(光)(盘)(的)(时)(候)(,他)(去)(王)(府)(井)(看)(看)(王)(府)(井)(的)(百)(货)(大)(楼)(,那)(是)(多)(可)(怕)(的)(事)(情)(。可)(能)(和)(现)(在)(大)(家)(看)(他)(和)(腾)(讯)(、阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(是)(非)(常)(类)(似)(的)(。
  在)(这)(么)(多)(年)(的)(商)(业)(演)(化)(过)(程)(之)(中)(,大)(家)(会)(看)(到)(其)(实)(我)(们)(所)(谓)(当)(年)(强)(大)(的)(东)(西)(并)(不)(一)(定)(那)(么)(强)(大)(。当)(年)(所)(谓)(弱)(小)(的)(力)(量)(,现)(在)(越)(来)(越)(变)(成)(一)(个)(主)(要)(的)(力)(量)(。
  对)(于)(小)(的)(创)(业)(公)(司)(,我)(想)(借)(用)(李)(善)(友)(教)(授)(一)(句)(话)(,“与)(其)(更)(好)(,不)(如)(不)(同)(”。你)(要)(寻)(找)(一)(条)(差)(异)(化)(的)(竞)(争)(道)(路)(,而)(不)(是)(比)(较)(硬)(实)(力)(。
  立)(足)(效)(率)(提)(升)(的)(产)(品)(和)(公)(司)(将)(有)(更)(大)(的)(机)(会)(
  李)(劳)(:刚)(才)(两)(位)(给)(创)(业)(者)(很)(多)(的)(鼓)(励)(,我)(们)(就)(更)(多)(一)(点)(鼓)(励)(,请)(两)(位)(分)(享)(一)(下)(自)(己)(现)(在)(会)(关)(注)(什)(么)(领)(域)(的)(投)(资)(,甚)(至)(融)(资)(并)(购)(。
  郁)(乐)(:首)(先)(第)(一)(点)(,对)(我)(们)(来)(说)(,更)(关)(心)(有)(未)(来)(的)(企)(业)(和)(有)(独)(到)(想)(法)(的)(产)(品)(。今)(天)(看)(起)(来)(可)(能)(还)(不)(是)(那)(么)(的)(显)(眼)(,但)(它)(会)(有)(一)(些)(独)(到)(的)(特)(色)(,能)(够)(逐)(步)(感)(染)(更)(多)(的)(人)(,甚)(至)(你)(可)(以)(说)(是)(有)(点)(情)(怀)(的)(产)(品)(,可)(能)(现)(在)(还)(比)(较)(小)(众)(,我)(觉)(得)(这)(是)(一)(个)(方)(向)(。
  另)(外)(,从)(国)(家)(整)(个)(经)(济)(发)(展)(的)(方)(向)(上)(来)(说)(的)(话)(,以)(前)(很)(多)(都)(是)(靠)(资)(源)(性)(的)(,靠)(大)(量)(资)(本)(的)(投)(入)(。像)(以)(前)(有)(很)(多)(电)(商)(类)(的)(公)(司)(。
  我)(相)(信)(下)(一)(步)(经)(济)(发)(展)(,中)(国)(还)(是)(需)(要)(长)(期)(的)(力)(量)(来)(推)(进)(,比)(如)(在)(效)(率)(的)(提)(高)(上)(,在)(中)(国)(出)(现)(了)(像)(微)(信)(这)(种)(伟)(大)(的)(2C产)(品)(,从)(商)(业)(上)(看)(,这)(个)(力)(量)(也)(会)(逐)(步)(渗)(透)(。不)(仅)(是)(个)(人)(生)(活)(,也)(是)(从)(商)(业)(社)(会)(中)(,把)(效)(率)(做)(出)(一)(个)(里)(程)(碑)(式)(的)(提)(高)(。这)(样)(的)(产)(品)(、公)(司)(和)(创)(始)(人)(是)(会)(让)(我)(非)(常)(心)(动)(的)(。
  李)(朝)(晖)(:三)(个)(词)(,规)(模)(、效)(应)(、突)(破)(。
  第)(一)(,规)(模)(。中)(国)(的)(经)(济)(发)(展)(到)(了)(“规)(模)(时)(代)(”,线)(下)(一)(定)(会)(出)(现)(几)(千)(家)(的)(连)(锁)(店)(,各)(种)(各)(样)(的)(连)(锁)(店)(,然)(后)(各)(种)(各)(样)(零)(售)(的)(品)(牌)(在)(中)(国)(一)(定)(会)(出)(现)(,这)(已)(经)(不)(是)(梦)(想)(,而)(是)(现)(在)(正)(在)(发)(生)(的)(事)(情)(。
  第)(二)(,效)(率)(。我)(认)(为)(粗)(放)(型)(的)(经)(济)(发)(展)(已)(经)(过)(去)(了)(,我)(们)(一)(定)(会)(朝)(效)(率)(来)(要)(经)(济)(发)(展)(更)(多)(的)(核)(心)(动)(力)(。在)(这)(一)(点)(上)(,在)(中)(国)(还)(有)(巨)(大)(的)(空)(间)(,这)(样)(一)(个)(体)(量)(的)(经)(济)(体)(来)(说)(,每)(1%的)(效)(率)(提)(升)(也)(带)(来)(了)(巨)(大)(的)(创)(新)(和)(创)(业)(的)(机)(会)(。
  第)(三)(,突)(破)(。其)(实)(某)(种)(程)(度)(上)(我)(们)(真)(正)(到)(了)(一)(个)(敢)(想)(的)(时)(代)(,这)(个)(很)(重)(要)(。可)(能)(我)(们)(本)(身)(的)(特)(质)(不)(在)(于)(执)(行)(能)(力)(,或)(对)(日)(常)(的)(经)(营)(能)(力)(,而)(更)(在)(于)(对)(别)(人)(所)(不)(敢)(想)(的)(事)(情)(,敢)(于)(进)(行)(一)(个)(大)(胆)(的)(构)(想)(和)(突)(破)(。在)(这)(一)(点)(上)(的)(话)(,(投)(黑)(马)(www.touheima.com专)(注)(于)(文)(创)(领)(域)(的)(众)(筹)(平)(台)()是)(中)(国)(创)(业)(者)(在)(过)(去)(一)(直)(不)(够)(敢)(于)(迈)(出)(,因)(为)(我)(们)(的)(生)(存)(压)(力)(很)(大)(、竞)(争)(压)(力)(很)(大)(。现)(在)(会)(看)(到)(“敢)(于)(构)(想)(”才)(是)(最)(大)(的)(突)(破)(。
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